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Sunday, April 11, 2021

2021 Masters Sunday odds: Surprising PGA picks, predictions from model that nailed six majors - CBS Sports

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Hideki Matsuyama has surged into first place at 11 under heading into the final round of the 2021 Masters on Sunday as he seeks his first major title. Matsuyama, who has never finished better than fifth at Augusta National, fired a 65 on Saturday to build a surprising four-shot lead. Xander Schauffele, Marc Leishman, Will Zalatoris and Justin Rose all sit four shots off the lead at 7 under. Corey Conners is at 6 under, followed closely on the 2021 Masters leaderboard by 2015 champion Jordan Spieth, who is 5 under after shooting a 72 on Saturday.

The latest 2021 Masters odds for Sunday from William Hill Sportsbook list Matsuyama as the 5/6 favorite to wear the green jacket. Schauffele is 5-1, while Rose (9-1) is the only other golfer on the PGA odds board getting single-digits heading into Sunday. With so many players ready to pounce on Sunday if Matsuyama falters, you'll want to check out the PGA Tour predictions from the proven computer model at SportsLine before locking in your 2021 Masters picks.

SportsLine's prediction model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been on fire since the return of the PGA Tour in June. In fact, it's up almost $10,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

Last month at the Pebble Beach Pro-Am, McClure nailed Daniel Berger's win at +1400 in his best bets. McClure was also all over Viktor Hovland's (+2500) victory in the Mayakoba Golf Classic in December. That was one of many huge calls he's made in the past few months.

After nailing Sergio Garcia (+5500) finishing on top of the leaderboard at the Sanderson Farms Championship, McClure finished up over $6,200 yet again on his best bets in that tournament. The model had him in the top five from the start and McClure's best bets included Garcia winning outright. He also finished profitable at the U.S. Open, nailing two of his best bets, including a +1100 top-five bet on Matthew Wolff.

This same model has also nailed a whopping six majors entering the weekend, including Patrick Reed's win at Augusta in 2018. Anyone who has followed its golf picks has seen massive returns. 

Now with the final round of the 2021 Masters approaching, SportsLine simulated Round 4 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

Top 2021 Masters predictions 

One huge shocker the model is calling for at the Masters 2021: Leishman, who is in the group tied for second after shooting a 70 on Saturday, ends up falling well outside of the top five. The 37-year-old Australian has only finished better than ninth place one time at the Masters, and that came back in 2013 when he finished T4. He also shot a 75 in the fourth round of the 2019 Masters, the last time it was played at its traditional time. 

Leishman also hasn't played particularly well this year. He's missed the cut in two of his last three events. He also has just one top-10 finish, a T4 at the Sony Open in January, this calendar year. McClure's model indicates there are far better values among players near the top of the Masters 2021 leaderboard.

Another surprise: Corey Conners, a 22-1 long shot, makes a strong run at the title. Highlighted by a rare hole-in-one on No. 6 on Saturday, Conners fired a 68 on Saturday to enter Sunday alone in sixth place on the leaderboard. The 29-year old Canadian has gone progressively lower each round, shooting a 73 and 69 on Thursday and Friday, respectively.

He also came to Augusta playing well over the past few weeks, recording two finishes of seventh place or better in his last four tournaments. Even though he's five shots off the lead, he's just one behind the group in second. If Matsuyama struggles on Sunday, the model suggests Conner is in great position to make a run, making him a great value pick for 2021 Masters bets. 

How to make 2021 Masters picks

The model is targeting three other golfers with odds longer than 22-1 who will make a surprising run, including multiple epic triple-digit long shots who will finish near the top of the leaderboard. Anyone who backs these long shots could hit it big. You can only see them here.

So who will win the 2021 Masters Tournament? And which long shots stun the golfing world? Check out the odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2021 Masters leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed six golf majors and is up nearly $10,000 since the restart.

2021 Masters Sunday odds

Hideki Matsuyama 5/6
Xander Schauffele 5-1
Justin Rose 9-1
Will Zalatoris 10-1
Marc Leishman 11-1
Jordan Spieth 16-1
Corey Conners 22-1
Brian Harman 100-1
Tony Finau 100-1
Justin Thomas 250-1
Patrick Reed 300-1
Robert Macintyre 400-1
Si-Woo Kim 400-1
Shane Lowry 400-1
Cameron Smith 500-1
Bernd Wiesberger 500-1
Jon Rahm 500-1
Ryan Palmer 500-1
Stewart Cink 500-1
Kevin Na 500-1
Viktor Hovland 500-1
Henrik Stenson 750-1
Webb Simpson 1000-1
Joaquin Niemann 1000-1
Scottie Scheffler 1000-1

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"from" - Google News
April 11, 2021 at 09:59AM
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2021 Masters Sunday odds: Surprising PGA picks, predictions from model that nailed six majors - CBS Sports
"from" - Google News
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